The Phoenix Suns have a chance to close out the Los Angeles Clippers in five games. Phoenix will have a chance to do it in front of their home crowd too. Will Chris Paul, Devin Booker, and the rest of the Suns be able to hold off Paul George and the Clippers to advance to the NBA Finals for the first time since 1993?
Oddsmakers have installed the Suns as a favorite over the Clippers ahead of Game 5, but let’s turn our attention to our best player prop bet pick between these two teams.
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Clippers vs. Suns Game 5 Player Prop Pick
Devin Booker Under 26.5 Points (+100, FanDuel)
Booker has been phenomenal in these playoffs, but he has hit a roadblock over his last few games. After averaging 29.0 points per game over his first 11 playoff games, Booker’s scoring average has dropped to 20 over his last three games. Phoenix is 2-1 in those games, so Booker’s scoring dip hasn’t hurt the Suns all that much.
We expect this trend to continue in Game 5. The pace has slowed down to a crawl over the last three games of this series. In Game 1, the two teams combined to score 234 points. Over the last three games, they have combined to score 207, 208, and 164 points. The drastic dip in overall scoring will coincide with Booker going under 26.5 points again.
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Reggie Jackson Over 19.5 Points (-125, BetMGM)
The Clippers needed someone to step up on offense when Kawhi Leonard went down with a knee injury earlier in these playoffs. Obviously, Paul George is the alpha dog on that offense, but Reggie Jackson has stepped up in a big way as well.
In the 11 games Leonard played in these playoffs, Jackson averaged 15.2 points per game. Jackson bumped those scoring numbers up to 22.5 points per game since Leonard went down. In fact, Jackson has only finished below 19.5 points once in six games. Jackson won’t fall short of this number because of a lack of opportunity.
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Chris Paul Over 31.5 PTS+REB+AST (-113, DraftKings)
How could we pick player props in a potential closeout game without mentioning Chris Paul? He has a chance to finally make the NBA Finals after 15 years in the league. The fact that he has a chance to do it against his old team makes this moment even more intriguing.
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Paul has fallen short of this number in the two games he has played in this series, but we can go back to the Western Conference Semifinals for a look at how Paul might play in this closeout game. Up 3-0 with a sweep on the line, Paul put up 37 points in a dominant performance that sent the Nuggets home. We expect to see the future Hall of Famer come out with that same kind of intensity for this game.
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