On this fantasy football 2017 Q&A, Billy McInerney answers questions about RB1s and how to attack dynasty pick trading.
Welcome to Q&A. Today your fantasy football questions get answered.
Please note that I only play dynasty leagues, so my answers may be a little skewed in that direction. Be sure to keep the questions coming. See the last fantasy football Q&A here.
Who's your RB1? Bell, Eliot, or Johnson? (Ppr league)
— Patrick McLoud (@pm230831) August 3, 2017
This is a great question, as all three are excellent players, especially for fantasy. But in this case, Le’Veon Bell is my RB1.
While there is some concern that Bell hasn’t signed his franchise tag, I’m not particularly worried. He can’t sign a long-term deal, as the deadline for that has long passed, and the chances of him sitting out an entire year are extremely slim.
Bell has some injury concerns as well, and it would not be surprising if he misses a game or two with a nagging injury. But with a player who averaged 150 total yards per game last season, the injury risk is worth it.
Combining Bell’s 150 yards per game last year with the fact that he’s never had a season averaging fewer than 3.5 receptions per game in his career makes him the most valuable back in a PPR league.
Ezekiel Elliott is a great running back, having led the league in rushing with 1,631 yards as a rookie last season. However, while Bell averaged 51.3 receiving yards per game last season, Elliott only averaged 24.2. Additionally, Elliott averaged 4.2 fewer receptions per game than Bell.
As good of a running back as Elliott was last season, Bell’s work in the passing game pushes him past Elliott.
David Johnson Jr. is an excellent PPR running back, however, he isn’t quite as good as Bell. Johnson averaged 1.3 receptions per game less than Bell last season. He only averaged 3.7 more receiving yards per game, while averaging 28.3 less rushing yards per game. As good as Johnson is, he doesn’t stack up to what Bell does.
— Matt Talbot (@DynastyRobot) August 2, 2017
Davante Adams is my favorite player in this entire deal. But Willie Snead’s side is more valuable. Snead was only 102 yards behind Adams last season, and that was in one less game. Snead was also only three catches behind Adams. What set them apart was TDs (Adams had 12 while Snead had four).
The bigger deal, especially in dynasty is Snead has far more room to grow. Adams is competing with Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Martellus Bennett, and even Ty Montgomery out of the backfield for targets. The Packers run a very pass heavy offense, but there’s a limited number of targets to go around to a number of very good receivers.
The Saints also run a very pass heavy offense, and Snead should see a higher percentage of the targets than Adams will. With the trade of Brandin Cooks, there are 117 targets lost from the Saints. Michael Thomas is the only real competition Snead has for those targets.
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So Snead has a ton of room to grow and could wind up being more valuable than Adams. Throwing in the other pieces could make this package even more valuable.
C.J. Fiedorowicz is good for five to seven fantasy points a week. While that doesn’t seem like a lot, tight end is a very weak position for fantasy right now. A tight end who puts up a consistent point total like that has some value. Not to mention that number could increase, as last season the Texans had some awful play at QB. That shouldn’t be expected to continue for all of Fiedorowicz’s career.
Duke Johnson has some value in PPR leagues as a pass catching back. He’s competing with Isaiah Crowell for touches in the Browns backfield, but he’s safe for four to five points per game with what he does in the pass catching game.
A fourth-round pick isn’t extremely valuable, but adding picks in dynasty leagues is never a bad thing.
I would take the Snead package, hold Snead for now unless you get a really good offer, and shop Johnson and the pick (maybe try to package them to find a medium level player at a position you have a need at). You could either keep or trade Fiedorowicz depending on how deep you are at tight end.
— Dynasty Football 247 (@247dyno) August 2, 2017
Antonio Brown all the way on this one. I place a lot of value on picks in dynasty leagues, but Brown is easily a top three WR. The seventh overall pick and another first-round pick don’t make up that value, especially when you don’t know where the other pick will be in the round, it isn’t even close to equal value. The chances of you finding a player as good as Brown are way too slim to trade him for these picks.
Keep the questions coming.