Aug 9, 2016; Boston, MA, USA; New York Yankees third baseman Chase Headley (12) has words with Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Rick Porcello (22) during the seventh inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Rick Porcello

Talk about an average player who had a breakout season. Rick Porcello, over his career, averaged over 10 hits per nine innings and last year that number dropped to below eight. He set a career high in innings pitched at 223, which is the second time in his career that he passed the 200 inning mark. He isn’t an elite strikeout pitcher (6.1 Ks per 9) and with the high number of wins last year, it is driving up his draft value. His win total can be cut in half and he won’t give you 200 strikeouts next year.

Wins is the most unpredictable category in fantasy and strikeout numbers are what helps drive up fantasy pitchers numbers. The more strikeouts, the more outs which means less balls put in play and that means less of a chance of the pitchers giving up runs. Stay away from Porcello in this year’s draft. Draft pitchers with more upside such as Dan Duffy, Lance McCullers and Sonny Gray.