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Early offensive stat projections for the 2017 New York Yankees

Aaron Judge

  • PA: 522
  • AVG: .229
  • HR: 30
  • OBP: .301
  • SLG%: .473
  • RBI: 83

After struggling in his first go-around in the majors, seeing 30 home runs from Aaron Judge is a promising sight for fans.

Last season, the 6-foot-8 mammoth struck out in precisely half of his at-bats while hitting a mere .179 in 27 games. If you’re expecting a turnaround, don’t expect the strikeouts to disappear.

FanGraphs, in addition to a mere .229 batting average, is projecting Judge to finish 2017 with a 34.3% strikeout rate. Since 2010, only Chris Carter (2013) and Mark Reynolds (2010) had higher rates but at least it’s much greater than the 50% he maintained in his first cup of coffee.

After all, we’ve had Judge in the organization since 2013 and know what kind of a player he is. A guy who will hit 25-30 home runs while also striking out a lot.

In his three-year minor league career, the 24-year old hit 64 home runs in 399 games but also went down on strikes 437. Know what you have, and know that’s what you’ll get.