Greinke is coming off a career best season, making his move to opt out of 3 years and $71 million, a wise one.
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers, 5 years/120 million.
A sub-2.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP season is a very rare feat. That’s what makes Greinke’s 1.66 ERA and 0.844 WHIP so impressive (although his 2.76 FIP suggests otherwise). Regardless of what statistic you read, there’s no doubting that Greinke is a front of the rotation starter whose had success in both leagues.
Although he just turned 32 in October, Greinke still warrants a 5 year deal. Yes, his velocity could dip as he ages, but his elite command and ability to throw any pitch in any count makes the investment sensible. He had a season that will be nearly impossible to replicate, but that’s why he’s selling high and cashing in this offseason.
Beyond Clayton Kershaw, the Dodgers have issues in their rotation without Greinke. Brett Anderson is a free agent and Hyun-Jin Ryu is coming off shoulder surgery. LA’s league high payroll and deep pockets isn’t going to let their ace just walk out. Greinke will be sporting Dodger blue for several years to come.